Billion-dollar betting markets predicted Kamala Harris' election loss to Donald Trump WEEKS before the experts
America's rollercoaster 2024 election served as a wake-up call for the pollsters that once again gauged voters badly. But it also revealed a new rival to traditional pollsters, one that left them in the dust — online betting platforms. Ahead of Election Day 2024, many pollsters eyed the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as a statistical dead head, whereas Kalshi, Polymarket and other betting platforms gave the Republican a roughly 65-35 lead.
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