Japan's governing party projected to win snap election majority - GRIF MAG

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Sunday, February 8, 2026

Japan's governing party projected to win snap election majority

Japan's governing party projected to win snap election majority

Japan's ruling party, led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, is set to seal a decisive win in Sunday's snap election, exit polls suggest.

BBC Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi (R) speaks during a meeting in Tokyo on February 5, 2026

The country's first female prime minister is seeking a clear public mandate just four months after becoming Liberal Democrat Party (LDP) leader.

Her predicted success is in marked contrast to her two predecessors, under whom the party lost its parliamentary majority because of corruption scandals and rising costs.

An LDP-led coalition has governed Japan for much of its post-war history due to the lack of a strong opposition.

Takaichi has pledged to step down if her party fails to secure a majority, and some have called the snap election a big gamble.

In 2024 the LDP lost its majority in both houses of parliament, and its decades-old coalition with the Komeito party collapsed.

But Takaichi's personal popularity appears to have helped the party, with approval ratings for her government mostly hovering above 70%.

The LDP and its current coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party, could secure as many as 366 of the 465 seats in the House of Representatives, according to a poll by broadcaster NHK.

People across Japan braved snow to vote in the country's first mid-winter poll in 36 years.

Rumi and Daniel Hayama smiling as Rumi hold their son.

Japan's transport ministry said 37 train lines and 58 ferry routes were closed and 54 flights cancelled as of Sunday morning. There was rare snowfall in Tokyo as people headed out to vote.

"People want their lives to be better and more comfortable because we are so accustomed to not having inflation [costs rising]... so people are very worried. I think we need a long-term solution rather than short-term fixes," Ritsuko Ninomiya, a voter in Tokyo told the BBC.

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Takaichi's enthusiasm, populist spending promises and nationalist rhetoric appear to have energised voters.

Her social media presence has also cultivated new followers, particularly among young voters. She regularly shares clips of her daily life and political activities, and a video of her playing the drums with South Korean President Lee Jae Myung is one of many clips that have gone viral.

"I think this election is more important for the younger generation, people like us," Daniel Hayama said, adding that the cold weather was not a hurdle for young people who want to vote.

A child (L) holds umbrellas as voters take part in the House of Representatives election at a polling station in Tokyo on February 8, 2026.

Takaichi and the LDP faced a more unified opposition than before. LDP's former coalition partner Komeito has joined forces with the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan to form the largest opposition bloc in the lower house.

Takaichi has pushed to toughen the immigration system, review rules around foreign ownership of Japanese land, and tackle any non-payments of tax and health insurance by foreign nationals.

But in a country where only 3% of the population are foreign nationals, critics have accused her of creating anxiety and division.

Critics, including businesses, are sceptical that her pledge to spend more and cut taxes can revive the sluggish Japanese economy. The country's government debt is already one of the highest among developed nations.

Relations with China - Japan's largest trading partner - have been strained as well, after Takaichi suggested last November that Japan could intervene militarily if China invaded Taiwan.

Takaichi has courted Donald Trump, who has publicly endorsed her - an unusual move by a US president - and they both seem to agree that Japan should spend more on defence. That relationship too was on voters' minds as they headed to the polls on Sunday.

"I am concerned with what President Trump is doing as well as the national defence issues. I am not sure where the money is coming from to cover that. So balancing budget spending between defence and people's life is a major concern for me," Yuko Sakai says.

Additional reporting by Kelly Ng and Chika Nakayama.